We document a new fact about expectations: in response to the main shocks driving the business cycle, expectations under-react initially but over-shoot later on. We show how previous, seemingly conflicting, evidence can be understood as different facets of this fact. We finally explain what the...

We document a new fact about expectations: in response to the main shocks driving the business cycle, expectations underreact initially but overshoot later on. We show how previous, seemingly conflicting, evidence can be understood as different facets of this fact. We finally explain what the...

This paper develops a model in which two information frictions are embedded into an otherwise conventional neoclassical growth model: an adverse selection problem in the labor market and a costly state verification problem in the credit market. The former allows equilibrium unemployment to arise...

Was hat der Euro mit griechischer Mythologie zu tun? Ganz einfach: Wie Odysseus dem Klang der Sirenen, so haben die EU-Mitgliedstaaten der Verführungskraft neuer Schulden zu widerstehen. Im Rahmen der aktuellen Politik werden sie jedoch immer wieder schwach. Der neue Chef des ifo Instituts,...

This paper investigates the economic consequences of workplace accidents in the British labour market. For the empirical analysis, I use data on employment and earnings from the British Household Panel Survey and exploit fixed effects estimators to control for time-invariant unobserved workers'...