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We explore future job creation needs under conditions of demographic, economic, and technological change. First, we estimate the implications for job creation in 2020-2030 of population growth, changes in labor force participation, and the achievement of plausible target unemployment rates,...
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This paper introduces the age structure of the population into the analysis of medium term unemployment swings. We incorporate age-related features into the Shapiro-Stiglitz shirking model and find that the observed age pattern of unemployment can be explained in terms of the model. Moreover, we...
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We analyze the relation between population aging and the decline of unemployment in East Germany for the years from …. Overall results show that the declining unemployment rate in East Germany is indeed affected by aging as evidenced by a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437782
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This paper investigates how demographic change affects the financial sustainability of apay-as-you-gosocialsecuritysysteminanenvironmentwithcollectivebargainingonthe labor market. Partial equilibrium analysis shows that the contribution rate or the benefit level decreases, if the old-age...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012062407
In East Germany a profound demographic change has been taking place that manifests itself in the shrinkage and the … reunification of Germany in 1990. In no other countries of the former Eastern Bloc, this process was so drastic and abrupt as in … East Germany. Around the year 2007, the small after-reunification cohorts started to enter the East German labor market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011503514