Showing 1 - 10 of 1,865
As inflation rates in the United States decline, analysts are asking if there are economic reasons to hold the rates at … levels above zero. Previous studies of whether inflation "greases the wheels" of the labor market ignore inflation …-setting that allows the benefits of inflation (downward wage flexibility) to be separated from disruptive uncertainty about …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009768280
Most empirical work on the U.S. Phillips curve has had a strong tendency to impose global linearity on the data. The basic objective of this paper is to reconsider the issue of nonlinearity and to underscore its importance for policymaking. After briefly reviewing the history of the Phillips...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782366
long run Phillips curve recorded -0.75 in Sweden and -0.23 in the United States. While the average inflation rate in the … United States was very close to its targeted level, the average inflation rate in Sweden was 0.6 per- centage points below … its targeted level over the sample period. The deviation of inflation rate from its targeted level in Sweden resulted in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179358
In this paper we study 2-state Markov switching VAR models of monthly unemployment and inflation for three countries …: Sweden, United Kingdom, and the United States. The primary purpose is to examine if periods of low inflation are associated … variance in unemployment. In the U.S. case we find that the variance of unemployment is lower in the low inflation regime than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584800
Using the statistical technique of fuzzy clustering, regimes of inflation and unemployment are explored for the United … inflation/unemployment space. There is considerable similarity across the countries in both the regimes themselves and in the … timings of the transitions between regimes. However, the typical rates of inflation and unemployment experienced in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299186
, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602776
During the recovery from the Great Recession, inflation did not reach the central bank's 2 percent objective as quickly … contestable and damped retail inflation. This hypothesis is tested using data on the online share of retail sales, which are … sensitivity of inflation to unemployment rate changes. Improvement in fit from just including the online share is tiny—so far …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030043
unemployment. Our model succeeds in replicating the empirical fact of a downward sloping Phillips curve for low inflation rates and … an upward sloping curve for high inflation rates. The reason is that low inflation rates make saving, as opposed to …, when inflation exceeds a certain threshold, money is too costly to hold, which results in a decrease in output and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018950
observed puzzling co-movement. The computation also indicates that decrease in expected variation in inflation, results in … increased unemployment by 61.0 per cent decrease in the variation in expected inflation associated with a unit change in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881294