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We examine the impact of real oil price shocks on labor market flows in the U.S. We first use smooth transition regression (STR) models to investigate to what extent oil prices can be considered as a driving force of labor market fluctuations. Then we develop and calibrate a modified version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139698
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009309719
unemployment is high. Using monthly panel data for local labour markets in Sweden we find no (or only weak) evidence that high … unemployment makes it easier to fill vacancies. Instead, there are few vacancies when unemployment is high because there is a low … cyclical behaviour of stocks and flows in the labour market also without search frictions. In periods of high unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026458
increased flow into unemployment in a recession is mainly due to reduced hirings, and hence lower job-to-job transitions, rather …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003323028
role for the cyclicality of the unemployment outflow rate, although the contribution of the duration of unemployment is … significant. In contrast, composition effects dampen the cyclicality of the unemployment inflow rate considerably. We further … observe that the initially positive contribution of composition effects to a higher unemployment outflow rate turns negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113031
role for the cyclicality of the unemployment outflow rate, although the contribution of the duration of unemployment is … significant. In contrast, composition effects dampen the cyclicality of the unemployment inflow rate considerably. We further … observe that the initially positive contribution of composition effects to a higher unemployment outflow rate turns negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110186
Unemployment recoveries in the US have been inexorable. Between 1948 and 2019, the annual reduction in the unemployment …, unemployment continues to glide down. Occasionally, unemployment rises rapidly during an economic crisis, while most of the time …, unemployment declines slowly and smoothly at a near-constant proportional rate. We show that similar properties hold for other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168884
understanding that their jobs still exist and that they will be recalled. We show that the resulting temporary-layoff unemployment … mostly dissipated by the end of 2020. Potential workers without jobs constitute what we call jobless unemployment. Shocks … that elevate jobless unemployment have much more persistent effects. Historical major adverse shocks, such as the financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168892
unemployment by lowering the aggregate job-finding rate. We use this framework to measure the contribution of mismatch to the … recent rise in U.S. unemployment by exploiting two sources of cross-sectional data on vacancies, JOLTS and HWOL, a new … one-third of the total observed increase in the unemployment rate, whereas geographical mismatch plays no apparent role …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580898
We show that the inability of a standardly-calibrated labor search-and-matching model to account for labor market volatility extends beyond the U.S. to a set of OECD countries. That is, the volatility puzzle is ubiquitous. We argue cross-country data is helpful in scrutinizing between potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251658