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Inflation-targeting central banks have only imperfect knowledge about the effect of policy decisions on inflation. An important source of uncertainty is the relationship between inflation and unemployment. This paper studies the optimal monetary policy in the presence of uncertainty about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765348
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011791618
This paper shows that Livingston Survey measures of unemployment uncertainty are positively correlated with inflation, that inflation Granger Causes unemployment uncertainty and that shocks to inflation uncertainty or unemployment uncertainty have similar effects on real GDP growth. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014177993
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013430594
Inflation-targeting central banks have only imperfect knowledge about the effect of policy decisions on inflation. An important source of uncertainty is the relationship between inflation and unemployment. This paper studies the optimal monetary policy in the presence of uncertainty about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014087550
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012583768
or long-term unemployment, may occur during working years. Personal disaster risk alters lifetime ex-ante investment … characterizes rare disasters, results in lower risk-taking at the beginning of working life, and is crucial in order to match the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012793436
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012312632
-term unemployment spells to have permanent effects on subsequent labor income prospects. The risk of losing future labor income could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997202
Black Americans face higher cyclical unemployment risk than white Americans: job-finding rates during recessions are … lower and the risk of becoming long-term unemployed is higher. Differences in unemployment risk across Black and white … Americans imply that Black Americans optimally invest less in risky assets. We show that differences in unemployment risk can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014441882