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favour a similar economic performance among adjacent regions. Therefore, proper forecasting of socio-economic variables, such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349204
While the gig economy has been growing rapidly, evidence on its implications for the labor force remains sparse. This paper shows that gig work can buffer income losses arising from unemployment shocks. Matching a large sample of administrative employment data with information on platform entry,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290694
favour a similar economic performance among adjacent regions. Therefore, proper forecasting of socio-economic variables, such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014059120
The geographical distribution and persistence of regional/local unemployment rates in heterogeneous economies (such as Germany) have been, in recent years, the subject of various theoretical and empirical studies. Several researchers have shown an interest in analysing the dynamic adjustment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011737221
This work refers to analyses of matching processes on occupational labour markets in Germany. Up to now, all studies in this field are based on the crucial assumption of separate occupational labour markets. I outlined some theoretical considerations that occupational markets are probably not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011548268
as benchmark. Finally, we replicate the forecasting experiment including as predictors both an indicator of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147303
We test and report on time series modelling and forecasting using several US. Leading economic indicators (LEI) as an … input to forecasting real US. GDP and the unemployment rate. These time series have been addressed before, but our results … unemployment rate series. We tested the forecasting ability of best univariate and best bivariate models over 60- and 120-period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214684
Researchers are increasingly exploiting web-searches to study phenomena for which timely and high-frequency data are not readily available. We propose a data-driven procedure which, exploiting machine learning techniques, solves the issue of identifying the list of queries linked to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831139
The economic crisis caused by the covid-19 pandemic is unprecedented in recent history. We contribute to a growing literature investigating the economic consequences of covid-19 by showing how unemployment-related online searches across the EU27 reacted to the introduction of lock-downs. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012289278
Predictions of whether newly unemployed individuals will become long-term unemployed are important for the planning and policy mix of unemployment insurance agencies. We analyze unique data on three sources of information on the probability of re-employment within 6 months (RE6), for the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014338662