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parameter restrictions. A cointegration analysis for the unified Germany reveals a long rum relationship between real wages …, productivity and unemployment which is interpreted as a wage setting relation. From a Subset VECM we identify meaningful structural …. We compare these results to results from a standard SVECM and find that, using the Subset VECM reduces estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009613616
Using 136 United States macroeconomic indicators from 1973 to 2017, and a factor augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) framework with sign restrictions, we investigate the effects of three structural macroeconomic shocks - monetary, demand, and supply - on the labour market outcomes of black...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157899
We study the driving forces of the so-called "German labor market miracle" the trend-shift and steady decline of German unemployment over the last two decades that persisted beyond the Great Recession. Our structural VAR approach encompasses various factors within a single comprehensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307753
We investigate the controversial issue whether unemployment is related to productivity growth in the long run, using U …. Therefore the secular decline of unemployment since the mid 1990s indeed stemmed from higher average productivity growth. The … initial and final regimes are essentially equal, thus supporting theories that explain the productivity slowdown by a slow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003827158
In this paper, we show that in order to obtain a sound identification of Euro Area monetary policy shocks, one needs to deal with the interaction of the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve. In other words, a proper identification of monetary policy shocks for an open economy like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
In this paper we investigate transmission and spillovers of local and foreign economic policy uncertainty shocks to unemployment in two largest economic regions in the world - the United States (US) and the Euro area (EA). For this purpose we deploy Bayesian Markov-switching structural vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437769
We investigate the controversial issue whether unemployment is related to productivity growth in the long run, using U …. Therefore the secular decline of unemployment since the mid 1990s indeed stemmed from higher average productivity growth. The … initial and final regimes are essentially equal, thus supporting theories that explain the productivity slowdown by a slow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265226
's law are a natural and expected outcome once one takes a multi-shock perspective, as long as shocks to automation, labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013207330
response of unemployment to such shock if one allows for small deviation from rational expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352734
Short-time work is a labor market policy that subsidizes working time reductions among firms in financial difficulty in order to prevent layoffs and stabilize employment. Many OECD countries have used this policy in the Great Recession, for example. This paper shows that the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011718992