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The U.S. economy continues to be characterized by a persistently-high rate of unemployment, with at least another three years before attainment of the pre-recession unemployment rate.Six significant structural trends are identified and their impacts discerned. The pernicious impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125304
Mainstream macro theorists reasonably insist on coherence with mainstream microeconomics. The early Keynesian separation of macro and micro into incompatible systems has long been unacceptable. In pursuit of coherence, modern model-builders work within the common market-centric framework of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022257
Institutions like the IMF, the ECB and many finance ministries and private banks in the world's richest countries are sending out unequivocal calls for strict control of prices to be addressed urgently, given their intrinsic relationship with how the budget deficit and government debt evolve....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494932
Over the last years, many have been questioning the importance of the Phillips curve arguing that it has flatten out of favour. Thus, a lot of attention has been given to understand why its slope is flatter and how can central bankers still explore it. Building on this current debate, I estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823529
A time-varying parameter framework is suggested for use with real-time multiperiod forecast data to estimate implied forecast equations. The framework is applied to historical briefing forecasts prepared for the Federal Open Market Committee to estimate the U.S. central bank's ex ante...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061678
Atlanta's 1996 Olympic Games were considered the most successful Olympics in the history of the event. Success in this case is based on financial considerations. There is no doubt that there was a tremendous economic activity associated with not only the city but much of the state of Georgia....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014063592
In this paper we present a theoretical interaction between the Dutt framework with the Susceptible, Infected and Recovered approach (hereafter SIR). Our main contribution is to divide the unemployment, spearing between natural unemployment and the one caused by the pandemic situation. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014094329
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335809
The U.S. economy had experienced the "jobless recovering" after the 1990-1991 and 2001 recessions, which has been constantly puzzling the economists, market analysts, and policymakers. This paper uses a simple hiring game in an efficiency wage model framework to resolve that puzzle. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263224
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010203781