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There are a large number of labour market indicators that could be used by monetary policy makers to assess the state of the labour market and the associated implications for inflationary pressure. This paper attempts to assess their relative merits by evaluating their past performance in...
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Seit dem Jahr 2006 berechnet und veröffentlicht das ifo Institut monatlich das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer als Indikator für die Entwicklung am deutschen Arbeitsmarkt. Es basiert auf den Befragungsergebnissen des monatlichen ifo Konjunkturtests. Das ifo Beschäftigungsbarometer hat...
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Regionale Migration; Humankapital; Sektorale Struktur; Deutschland; Polen; Arbeitsmarktmobilität; Prognose …Regional Migration; Human Capital; Sectoral Structure; Germany; Poland; Labour Mobility; Forecast …
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In this paper we evaluate the forecasting performance of employment expectations for employment growth in 15 European states. Our data cover the period from the first quarter 1998 to the fourth quarter 2012. With in-sample analyses and pseudo out-of-sample exercises, we find that for most of the...
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regional research. Predicting the East German outmigration to West Germany and the potential migration gains from Eastern … Europe is of general interest for regional policy in East Germany. Strong migration gains are expected particularly from … Poland, the direct neighbour of East Germany and the sixth-largest EU country. Even in case of German internal migration …
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sich Vorhersagen von Abgängen aus Arbeitslosigkeit in Beschäftigung in Deutschland durch eine Matchingfunktion verbessern …
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