We examine the impact of the monthly Employment Situation Report issued by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and of analyst forecasts of that report on U.S. Treasury securities market. Surprise increases in total non-farm payroll employment lead to increases in interest rates (especially 1-...

This paper examines whether sell-side equity analysts use labor market information, as reflected in job postings and corporate layoffs, to improve the quality of their earnings forecasts. We posit that labor market activities contain useful incremental information about the related firm and the...

We study firms' hiring decisions in a world in which both managers and investors are prone to expectation errors. We show that high managerial sentiment increases employment growth, especially at firms with worse investment opportunities and low-quality corporate governance, and during times of...

Using Phillips-curve regressions, I study how option-implied inflation moments respond to employment dynamics after the Great Financial Crisis (GFC). In a tight labor market, changes in moments imply that the risk of a moderate inflation overshoot rises by a tenth when the unemployment gap falls...

This study revisits the sectoral shifts hypothesis for the US for the period 1948 to 2011. A quantile regression approach is employed in order to investigate the asymmetric nature of the relationship between sectoral employment and unemployment. Significant asymmetries emerge. Lilien's...

Der Beitrag enthält eine Neuschätzung der inflationsstabilen Arbeitslosenquote (NAIRU) für Westdeutschland 1980 bis 1998. Nach einer Darstellung des konzeptionellen Rahmens der NAIRU einschließlich verschiedener Varianten, welche beispielsweise exogenen Schocks und dem Hysterese-Phänomen...

We review the labor market implications of recent real-business-cycle models that successfully replicate the empirical equity premium. We document the fact that all models considered in this survey with the exception of Boldrin, Christiano, and Fisher (2001) imply a negative correlation of...