risk defined as the possible joint event of large increases in the unemployment rate and large annual rates of inflation … at risk in the euro area and in the United States. We model the asymmetry of the shocks to changes in the unemployment … therefore important for the assessment of the inflation-unemployment trade-off. …

processes and their uncertainty. Under such conditions, risk accompanies any purposeful activity of the social subject, and, in … particular the basics of probability theory, the models of social risks of unemployment in terms of occupational groups and … turn, the latter is aimed at reducing the uncertainty of its results. The purpose of this paper is to form the basis of a …

the dynamics. Microsimulations of synthetic cohorts reveal that many migrants experience unemployment spells, but ten … only increase the unemployment among migrants but also departure from the country. Scenarios also indicate that an increase …