transition probabilities between the labor market states of employment, unemployment and out-of-the labor force under Markovian … in unemployment rates of these groups. Second, we present estimates of gender-specific multinomial logit models to … have higher unemployment rates than urban men because they have lower probability of exiting unemployment for a job and …

transition probabilities between the labor market states of employment, unemployment and out-of-the labor force under Markovian … in unemployment rates of these groups. Second, we present estimates of gender-specific multinomial logit models to … have higher unemployment rates than urban men because they have lower probability of exiting unemployment for a job and …

its successor Understanding Society. We find that the unemployment rate on leaving full-time education has large impacts …

the traditional survey-based unemployment rate versus big-data-based JPCs in capturing labor market transitions in the … predict individuals' transitions between employment and unemployment. Unlike with the unemployment rate, we not only examine … disaggregated levels. Our findings suggest that JPCs and the unemployment rate provide comparable predictive power for labor market …

emphasis on their evolution over the business cycle. Blacks have substantially higher and more cyclical unemployment rates than … comparatively higher risk of job loss. In contrast, the Hispanic-white unemployment rate gap is comparatively small and is largely …