Chahrour, Ryan; Chugh, Sanjay K.; Potter, Tristan - In: Quantitative economics : QE ; journal of the … 14 (2023) 3, pp. 897-934
We identify the main shock driving fluctuations in long‐horizon productivity expectations, consistent with theories of TFP news. The identified shock induces strong comovement patterns in output, consumption, investment, employment, and stock prices even though TFP does not change...