Der Beitrag analysiert die Argentinien-Krise, vergleicht die makroökonomische Entwicklung von Argentinien, Brasilien, Chile und Mexiko seit der Mexiko-Krise und entwickelt Indikatoren zur Beurteilung der Entwicklungschancen dieser Länder. Für Argentinien wie für Brasilien, Chile und Mexiko...

The paper sheds light on the apparent success of dollarization in Ecuador. The experience of Argentina with convertibility is used to anchor the analysis. Two key factors are seen to play the most important role: first, the behavior of the real exchange rate and second, the source of external...

Argentinien hat im Januar 2002 seine Zahlungsunfähigkeit erklärt und hofft seitdem auf neue Kredite des IWF. Anders als früher stellt der IWF nicht nur an die Zentralregierung Vorbedingungen: er fordert nämlich insbesondere, daß die Gebietskörperschaften eine kooperative Politik der...

The Argentine economy is in a complicated transition phase. To correct the major fiscal and inflationary imbalances built up in the previous decade, the new government that took office in December 2015 opted for a gradual fiscal adjustment, supported by a situation of abundant international...

Argentina has been making its way back to the international capital markets after being shunned for almost a decade following a catastrophic default and devaluation. The question of whether financial intermediaries and institutional investors in the U.S. and Europe should welcome Argentina back...

In the 1970s and early 1980s Paul Samuelson reformulated the conditional prediction made by Joseph Schumpeter in Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy by replacing socialism with populism. According to Samuelson, "populist democracy" had attained its fullest development in the Southern Cone. He...

Argentina's modern economic history offers perhaps the clearest evidence in support of a rules-based fiscal and monetary policy framework. From 1899 until 1914 the country abided by the rules of the gold standard and experienced rapid GDP growth with price stability. After WWI and until 1939,...

International narratives on Argentina's recovery from the crisis of 2001-02 tend to emphasize the role of rising commodity prices and growing demand from China. Argentina is said to have been 'lucky', saved by global demand for its agricultural exports. The international narrative has also been...

Given their powerful position in presidential cabinets, technocrats are an important transmission mechanism for explaining economic policy choices, but have received less attention compared to other well-established channels such as elections or democratic tenure. I incorporate the role of...

The paper is aimed at quantifying empirically the monetary transmission mechanism for Argentine, and at analyzing the responses of output, inflation, and money market mutual funds (MMMF) to a positive monetary shock. The idea of incorporating MMMF into the system is to understand how economic...