Population ageing constitutes a central challenge to Finland. Understanding the Finnish economy's likely future trajectory and the key sources of growth is important for the design of policies to counteract these adverse long-term trends. For this purpose, we develop a novel long-run forecast...

The main contribution of this paper is the construction of a cyclical systemic risk indicator from early warning indicators of banking crises (EWIs) used in Finland. Previous research has shown that combining EWIs can enhance their early warning properties. This study evaluates the indicator's...

Alle Kapitel dieser Doktorarbeit beleuchten das Thema Aktienfaktoren, allerdings aus unterschiedlichen Perspektiven. Das zentrale Ziel ist es, zum Verständnis von einigen der ältesten und anerkanntesten Aktienfaktoren beizutragen. Das erste Kapitel geht über die Vorhersagbarkeit von...