This paper studies the welfare impact of reputation/feedback systems in markets where both adverse selection and moral hazard are present. Using a transaction-level dataset from an online credit market, I estimate a dynamic model of borrowers and lenders, in which borrowers are subject to...

This paper develops an inferential theory for state-varying factor models of large dimensions. Unlike constant factor models, loadings are general functions of some recurrent state process. We develop an estimator for the latent factors and state-varying loadings under a large cross-section and...

We propose an empirical framework for a Cournot-oligopoly model where firms have private information about their own marginal costs. Considering a linear demand with random intercept, we characterize the Bayesian Cournot-Nash equilibrium and determine testable implications from the joint...

Since Chiappori and Salani e (2000), testing for asymmetric information has become tantamount to testing for a positive relation between risk and coverage which is predicted by (equilibrium) models for adverse selection and moral hazard. In this paper we analyze asymmetric information in...

Road safety policies and automobile insurance contracts often use incentive mechanisms based on traffic violations and accidents to promote safe driving. Can these mechanisms improve road safety efficiently? Do they reduce asymmetric information between drivers and insurers and regulators? In...

The ad hoc Black-Scholes (AHBS) model is one of the most widely used option valuation models among practitioners models. The main contribution of this study is methodological. We have two main results: (1) we make the empirical observation that typically the call and put sneers are discontinuous...

This paper decomposes price into its 2 major constituents, namely markup (Mkp) and marginal cost (MC) with which a Markov-switching VAR with fixed transition probabilities is estimated. Since the proposed pair of variables has not been extensively analysed, a theoretical model that derives...

We suggest a test for discovering whether a potential expert is informed of the distribution of a stochastic process. In a non-Bayesian non-parametric setting, the expert is asked to make a prediction which is tested against a single realization of the stochastic process. It is shown that by...

This paper aims to shed light on some of the major allocative consequences of financial market bubbles. In March 1997, the Neuer Markt in Germany opened. Six years later, in June 2003, it closed forever. In the interim period lay the spectacular rise and fall of the first and most important...

Testing for asymmetric informations has become very important in recent years in order to test theoretical predictions and to outline new directions for research. In this paper we analyse accident insurance, which has not been analysed before in the literature, but covers one of the most...