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Revisions of consensus forecasts of macroeconomic variables positively predict announcement day forecast errors, whereas stock market returns on forecast revision days negatively predict announcement day returns. A dynamic noisy rational expectations model with periodic macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846330
We propose a novel and tractable equilibrium model to study how information asymmetry, competition among market makers, and investors' risk aversion affect asset pricing, market illiquidity and welfare. The main innovation is that market makers compete through choosing simultaneously quantities...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013146613
This paper introduces a theory of market incompleteness based on the information transmission role of prices and its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110179
This paper investigates prices and endogenous research decision for financial assets. In rational expectations models with public information, higher order beliefs make investors to overweight the public information relative to underlying fundamentals. The extent of this mispricing is higher if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318514
Wealthier households obtain higher returns on their investments than poorer ones. How should the tax system account for this return inequality? I study capital taxation in an economy in which return rates endogenously correlate with wealth. The leading example is a financial market, where the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012499593
portfolio is not a relevant benchmark for testing the CAPM. Each investor appraises expected returns and builds his optimal … benchmark to consider for the conditional CAPM(s)? Many CAPM empirical tests consider future realized returns as proxies for … correct benchmark for testing the CAPM from the perspective of this investor. Our empirical results provide a more optimistic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292834
This paper examines the risk premium associated with information shocks in equity markets. For all stocks traded on Borsa Istanbul between March 2005 and December 2020, we calculate information shocks as unanticipated information asymmetry by focusing on changes in the proportion of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014307769
In this paper, we document that households' consumption expenditures crucially depend on their expected earnings - even after controlling for realized earnings, wealth and time-invariant unobserved characteristics such as permanent income and over-confidence. To explain this evidence, we develop...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014249642
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355203
In this paper, we document that households’ consumption expenditures depend on their expected earnings - even after controlling for realized earnings and wealth. To explain this evidence, we develop and structurally estimate a standard-incomplete markets model in which rational households...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013329447