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. Iterative admissibility also provides predictions for every finite level of reasoning about rationality. Overall we observe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011811807
We show that a rational expectations equilibrium need not be incentive compatible, need not be implementable as a perfect Bayesian equilibrium and may not be fully Pareto optimal, unless the utility functions are state independent. A comparison of rational expectations equilibria with core...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728179
This paper develops a dynamic theory of war and peace. In our framework, an aggressive country can forcibly extract … concessions from a non-aggressive country via war. Alternatively, it can avoid war and allow the non-aggressive country to make … private shock which deems concessions too costly. We show that the realization of war sustains concessions along the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224039
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012593891
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010221737
This paper performs a welfare analysis of economies with private information when public information is endogenously generated and agents can condition on noisy public statistics in the rational expectations tradition. We find that equilibrium is not (restricted) efficient even when feasible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153832
This paper performs a welfare analysis of economies with private information when public information is endogenously generated and agents can condition on noisy public statistics in the rational expectations tradition. We find that equilibrium is not (restricted) efficient even when feasible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009259934
This paper performs a welfare analysis of economies with private information when public information is endogenously generated and agents can condition on noisy public statistics in the rational expectations tradition. We find that equilibrium is not (restricted) efficient even when feasible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008600
This paper performs a welfare analysis of markets with private information in which agents can condition on noisy prices in the rational expectations tradition. Price-contingent strategies introduce two externalities in the use of private information: a payoff (pecuniary) externality related to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011001
We study a general static noisy rational expectations model, where investors have private information about asset payoffs, with common and private components, and about their own exposure to an aggregate risk factor, and derive conditions for existence and uniqueness (or multiplicity) of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003994517