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Revisions of consensus forecasts of macroeconomic variables positively predict announcement day forecast errors …, whereas stock market returns on forecast revision days negatively predict announcement day returns. A dynamic noisy rational …
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This paper shows that in asset pricing the information environment gives rise to a systematic risk factor when the informativeness of future news events varies with their content (i.e., bad news and good news are not equally informative). The paper further shows that in such cases (cross) serial...
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We examine the role of the disposition effect in market efficiency following the arrival of private signals to a small group of informed traders. Subjects trade an ambiguous asset via a computer-based double auction. Using a 2x2x2 design, we endow two types of signal, i.e., positive vs....
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