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Plott, Wit & Yang (2003) conduct a betting market experiment and find: First, information was aggregated. This suggests … replicate their experiment. Our results suggest that the paradox seems due to aggregate rather than individual level data …
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In absence of insurance contracts to share risk, public information is a double-edged sword. On the one hand, it empowers self-insurance as agents better react to shocks, reducing risk. On the other hand, it weakens market-insurance as common knowledge of shocks restricts trading risk. We embody...
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