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Why do people appear to forgo information by sorting into “echo chambers”? We construct a highly tractable multi-sender, multi-receiver cheap talk game in which players choose with whom to communicate. We show that segregation into small, homogeneous groups can improve everybody’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265620
), "Rational Herding in Microloan Markets," Management Science, Vol. 58, No. 5, May, pp. 892-912.Microloan markets allow individual … borrower listings on Prosper.com, the largest microloan market in the United States. We find evidence of rational herding among … payoff externalities. Moreover, instead of passively mimicking their peers (irrational herding), lenders engage in active …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114024
signals. Bunching is different from herding; it occurs in the first period and recursively until herding takes place or the … symmetric mixed strategy equilibrium. When players become patient enough, herding of investment disappears in the most efficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009521752
The term "information risk" or "information uncertainty" is defined as the risk of a misleading signal. This risk is understood Bayesianly in terms of the likelihood function f(S|φ). In Bayesian method, f(S|φ) captures the quality of signal S with respect to parameter φ. The Bayesian position...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085394
derive the optimal launch sequence. The decision maker's dynamic equilibrium strategy endogenizes informational herding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014210148
We examine the strategic non-revelation of information by patent applicants. In a model of a bilateral search of information, we show that patent applicants may conceal information, and that examiners make their screening intensity contingent upon the received information. We then analyze the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050107
This note provides the details of the estimation procedure in Br¨unner (2019). In Section 2 we derive the posterior distribution. Section 3 describes the MCMC algorithm used to obtain draws from the posterior distribution and in Section 4 we present the method for our model check. We conclude...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012507949
We examine the impact of public information on firms’ disclosure strategies. We portray two regimes based on a model that extends the setting of Dye (1985) and Jung and Kwon (1988). In the first regime, the firm is able to respond to public information and thus has the last word, and in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215178
This article analyzes the role of information in building reputation in an investment/trust game. The model allows for information asymmetry in a finitely repeated sender-receiver game and solves for sequential equilibrium to show that if there are some trustworthy managers who always disclose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098371
We consider trading against a hedge fund or large trader that must liquidate a large position in a risky asset if the market price of the asset crosses a certain threshold. Liquidation occurs in a disorderly manner and negatively impacts the market price of the asset. We consider the perspective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981705