Showing 1 - 10 of 10,937
We apply a model of preferences for information to the domain of decision making under risk and ambiguity. An uncertain … unpleasant to think about, an individual tends to be averse to risk and ambiguity. Yet in circumstances in which thinking about … an information gap is pleasant, an individual may exhibit risk- and ambiguity-seeking. The model provides explanations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022819
Environmental policy often has to be devised under informational constraints, like uncertainty and asymmetric information. We consider an environmental policy that aims at reducing the welfare losses caused by asymmetric information while being sufficiently simple for implementation. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003667308
A buyer makes an offer to a privately informed seller for a good of uncertain quality. Quality determines both the seller's valuation and the buyer's valuation, and the buyer evaluates each contract according to its worst-case performance over a set of probability distributions. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855861
outcomes after the search. The players' reservation value tends to decrease with their level of risk aversion. We propose a … this scenario, risk-averse players tend to increase their reservation value and extend their search duration. We also test … our theory in a laboratory experiment with a search game to track subjects' behavior and use a multiple price list and a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082556
We introduce a new updating rule, the conditional maximum likelihood rule (CML) for updating ambiguous information. The CML formula replaces the likelihood term in Bayes’ rule with the maximal likelihood of the given signal conditional on the state. We show that CML satisfies a new axiom,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213658
We consider an information design problem when the sender faces ambiguity regarding the probability distribution over the states of the world, the utility function and the prior of the receiver. The solution concept is minimax loss (regret), that is, the sender minimizes the distance from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011457032
Consider legal uncertainty as uncertainty about the legality of a specific action. In particular, suppose that the threshold of legality is uncertain. I show that this legal uncertainty raises welfare. Legal uncertainty changes deterrence in opposite directions. The probability of conviction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011557794
Driven by increasing costs in the traditionally-regarded low-cost manufacturing bases (e.g., China), many firms have started to outsource their production to the regions of even lower costs (e.g., Southeast Asia). However, a new environment may involve higher cost uncertainty and severer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903550
Using a vertically related multi-layer newsvendors framework this paper analyzes the impacts of market uncertainties and asymmetric information between firms at successive stages of a supply chain on their optimal stocking (and/or pricing) decisions. The asymmetric information along the supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861175