Die internationalen Finanzmärkte wurden in den letzten Jahren von einer Reihe folgenschwerer Währungskrisen heimgesucht. Zahlreiche Vorschläge für eine effizientere Krisenprävention werden seither diskutiert. Eine zentrale Idee ist die stärkere Nutzung von Frühwarnsystemen zur...

Market participants often suspect that large traders have a disproportionate effect on financial markets, increasing the aggressiveness of market responses. Prior studies have shown that the impact of a large trader on a currency crisis depends positively on his "size" and informational...

December 1999 - Markets have had limited success predicting crises and might do better by drawing on private information available to resident enterprise managers, who seem to know better than markets about future movements in exchange rates. Kaufmann, Mehrez, and Schmukler investigate whether...

This paper analyzes the implications of currency crises in a model with unique equilibrium. Starting from a typical multiple equilibria model with self-fulfilling expectations we introduce noisy information, following Morris/Shin (1999). Under certain conditions for the noise parameter, all...