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, despite the larger trade elasticities implied by firm heterogeneity. As a consequence, the world-wide trade response, though …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085999
constraints stemming from Myanmar's patchy trade records. It then estimates Myanmar's export potential, based on the bilateral … export patterns observed for six other countries in Southeast Asia. Against that benchmark and controlling for outliers … industrialized countries. Through reintegration with the world economy accompanied by deep economic reforms domestically, Myanmar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009734207
Global trade growth over the past few years has appeared extraordinarily weak, even in relation to weak global GDP growth. This paper shows that the apparent breakdown in the relationship between global trade and global GDP growth is largely explained by two factors: an inappropriate measurement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011399400
of new players in the world economy, intensification of South-South trade and diversification into skill …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010340132
We propose a model for analyzing euro area trade based on the interaction between macroeconomic and trade variables. First, we show that macroeconomic variables are necessary to generate accurate short-term trade forecasts; this result can be explained by the high correlation between trade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963898
Our contribution uses trade in value added statistics to assess the causes of the recent world trade slowdown. We … conclude that world trade elasticity has fallen due to a combination of regional and cyclical changes during the economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979021
We propose a model for analyzing euro area trade based on the interaction between macroeconomic and trade variables. First, we show that macroeconomic variables are necessary to generate accurate short-term trade forecasts; this result can be explained by the high correlation between trade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024226
We propose a model for analyzing euro area trade based on the interaction between macroeconomic and trade variables. First, we show that macroeconomic variables are necessary to generate accurate short-term trade forecasts; this result can be explained by the high correlation between trade and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024832
Global trade growth has slowed since 2012 relative both to its strong historical performance and to overall economic growth. This paper aims to quantify the role of weak economic growth and changes in its decomposition in accounting for the slowdown in trade using a reduced form and a structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928627
government tightened export restrictions for suppliers to the Chinese technology company Huawei. Against the background of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271978