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changing behavior of time varying risk premium for holding 10 year maturity bond using a bivariate VARMA-DBEKK-AGARCH-M model …. The model allows for asymmetric risk premia, causality and co-volatility spillovers jointly in the global bond markets …. Empirical results show significant asymmetric partial co-volatility spillovers and risk premium exist in the bond markets. The …
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) approach. Keynes held that the central bank exerts decisive influence on government bond yields because the central bank … government bonds' nominal yields. Furthermore, the effect of the budget balance ratio on government bond yields is small but … statistically significant. However, there is no statistically discernable effect of the debt ratio on government bond yields. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011890462
) approach. Keynes held that the central bank exerts decisive influence on government bond yields because the central bank … government bonds' nominal yields. Furthermore, the effect of the budget balance ratio on government bond yields is small but … statistically significant. However, there is no statistically discernible effect of the debt ratio on government bond yields …
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Forward rates in the money market are systematically higher than realised spot rates, reflecting an unobservable term premium. This paper uses a Kalman filter specification to produce time-varying estimates of the term premia in New Zealand and Australia. Three time series specifications are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014074323
We evaluate the accuracy of the fixed-income market in pricing for future movements in monetary policy. Yields implied by market pricing on various fixed-income securities are regressed on returns on the cash rate over corresponding periods. Where the market pricing is subject to risk premia,...
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