In this paper we study whether inflation expectations react on variations of election outcome expectations. Using data …

In the United Kingdom, Smith (2003;2004) has illustrated that prime ministers make their decision to call an election … to maximize the chance for re-election. This argument should be applicable to other majoritarian systems, yet various …

basis of the state of the economy; public opinion polls; and election betting (prediction markets). We assess the efficacy … of each in light of the 2004 Australian election. This election is particularly interesting both because of innovations …. While the evidence for economic voting has historically been weak for Australia, the 2004 election suggests an increasingly …