This paper analyzes the dynamic effects of different macroeconomic shocks on unemployment in Germany. In a first step …, a cointegration analysis of productivity, prices, real wages, employment, and the unemployment rate reveals two long run …

retaining the exponential affine structure of previous approaches, our model allows for an arbitrary number of cointegration … relationships. We show that the cointegration component allows capturing well-known features of commodity prices, i.e., upward … provide compelling evidence of cointegration in the data. Implications for the prices of futures and options written on common …

prices caused by stochastic volatility. -- option pricing ; autoregression ; heteroskedasticity ; GARCH ; leverage effect …