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The U.S. business cycle, 1867-1995: dynamic factor analysis vs. reconstructed national accounts

Ritschl, Albrecht; Sarferaz, Samad; Uebele, Martin - 2008

This paper presents insights on U.S. business cycle volatility since 1867 de- rived from diffusion indices. We employ a … volatility across World War I, which is reversed after World War II. While we can generate evidence of postwar moderation … for World War II where they support alternative estimates of Kuznets (1952). -- U.S. business cycle ; volatility ; dynamic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003796122

Regularized estimation of structural instability in factor models : the US macroeconomy and the great moderation

Callot, Laurent; Kristensen, Johannes Tang - 2015

This paper shows that the parsimoniously time-varying methodology of Callot and Kristensen (2015) can be applied to factor models. We apply this method to study macroeconomic instability in the US from 1959:1 to 2006:4 with a particular focus on the Great Moderation. Models with parsimoniously...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010532582

The US bsiness cycle, 1867 - 1995 : dynamic factor analysis vs. reconstructed national accounts

Ritschl, Albrecht; Sarferaz, Samad; Uebele, Martin - 2008

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003942580

Essays on business cycle analysis and demography

Sarferaz, Samad - 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008811071

Banking and Financial Crises in United States History : What Guidance can History Offer Policymakers?

Tallman, Ellis W. - 2010

This paper assesses the validity of comparisons between the current financial crisis and past crises in the United States. We highlight aspects of two National Banking Era crises (the Panic of 1873 and the Panic of 1907) that are relevant for comparison with the Panic of 2008. In 1873,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139392

Not What it Used to Be : The Cambridge Economic History of the United States, Volumes II and III

Field, Alexander J. - 2009

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047560

Interbank Networks and the Interregional Transmission of Financial Crises : Evidence from the Panic of 1907

Jaremski, Matthew S.; Wheelock, David C. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

This paper provides quantitative evidence on interbank transmission of financial distress in the Panic of 1907 and ensuing recession. Originating in New York City, the panic led to payment suspensions and emergency currency issuance in many cities. Data on the universe of interbank connections...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014287370

Can general purpose technology theory explain economic growth? : electrical power as a case study

Ristuccia, Cristiano Andrea; Solomou, Solomos - 2014

economies? The paper develops a new comparative data set on the usage of electricity in the manufacturing sectors of the USA …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010252126

Estimation of Historical Inflation Expectations

Binder, Carola - 2016

Expected inflation is a central variable in economic theory. Economic historians have estimated historical inflation expectations for a variety of purposes, including studies of the Fisher effect, the debt deflation hypothesis, central bank credibility, and expectations formation. I survey the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989845

The Economic History of Canada

Geloso, Vincent - 2021

Canada is one of the richest countries in the world today. It stands above most countries in the Americas. It is also noticeably poorer than its American neighbour in spite of considerable geographic similarities. These two facts were true as early as the 17th century. Why? An understanding of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214566

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