This paper describes an empirical study of the information content of daily share prices and American put and call option mid-quotes about their generating process. Considering stock return and its volatility as the risk factors and without parameterizing their historical joint dynamics, two...

In this paper we consider the dynamics of spot and futures prices in the presence of arbitrage. We propose a partially linear error correction model where the adjustment coefficient is allowed to depend non-linearly on the lagged price difference. We estimate our model using data on the DAX...

This paper considers the dynamics of spot and futures prices in the presence of arbitrage. A partially linear error correction model is proposed where the adjustment coefficient is allowed to depend non-linearly on the lagged price difference. The model is estimated using data on the DAX index...

This paper features an analysis of the relationship between the S&P 500 Index and the VIX using daily data obtained from both the CBOE website and SIRCA (The Securities Industry Research Centre of the Asia Pacific). We explore the relationship between the S&P 500 daily continuously compounded...

The paper studies estimation of parameters of diffusion market models from historical option prices. A method of reducing the impact of the stock price movements on the dynamically implied parameters is suggested. It is shown that a certain selection of the options can deliver a smooth in time...

This paper presents the first comparison of the accuracy of density forecasts for stock prices. Six sets of forecasts are evaluated for DJIA stocks, across four forecast horizons. Two forecasts are risk-neutral densities implied by the Black-Scholes and Heston models. The third set are...

Information about risk preferences from investors is essential for modelling a wide range of quantitative finance applications. Valuable information related to preferences can be extracted from option prices through pricing kernels. In this paper, pricing kernels and their term structure are...

Despite the suggestion made by investment banks and brokerage firms for private investors to substitute one or all part of their stock investment by the associated option, the real benefit obtained from dealing with an option rather than with its underlying stock remains to be understood. Using...