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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003890703
Introducing bounded rationality into a standard consumption based asset pricing model with a representative agent and time separable preferences strongly improves empirical performance. Learning causes momentum and mean reversion of returns and thereby excess volatility, persistence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604908
Introducing bounded rationality into a standard consumption based asset pricing model with a representative agent and time separable preferences strongly improves empirical performance. Learning causes momentum and mean reversion of returns and thereby excess volatility, persistence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003747965
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003574542
We show that unexpected price level movements generate sizable wealth redistribution in the Euro Area (EA), using sectoral accounts and newly available data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey. The EA as a whole is a net loser of unexpected price level decreases, with Italy,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013014616
The booms and busts in U.S. stock prices over the post-war period can to a large extent be explained by fluctuations in investors' subjective capital gains expectations. Survey measures of these expectations display excessive optimism at market peaks and excessive pessimism at market troughs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018988
We present a unified and quantitatively credible explanation for the joint behavior of stock prices and business cycles. We consider a frictionless production economy with time-separable consumption preferences and perfectly áexible labor supply. Investors extrapolate past stock price gains but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893442
We study the distributional consequences of housing price, bond price and equity price increases for Euro Area households using data from the Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS). The capital gains from bond price and equity price increases turn out to be concentrated among relatively...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988678
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