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's worth of statistical data to offer a revolutionary new look the history of oil and future of energy. The culmination of a … multi-year study, he shows how generational fears about an imminent, irreversible shortage of oil punctuate the history of … and public officials. Clayton argues that the lessons to be learned from this history are the need for quality data about …
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Historical events are reflected in asset prices. In this paper, we analyse government bond prices of Germany and Austria traded on the Swiss bourse during WWII. Some war events that are generally considered crucial are clearly reflected in government bond prices. This holds, in particular, for...
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Investors have too often extrapolated from recent experience. In the 1950s, who but the most rampant optimist would have dreamt that over the next fifty years the real return on equities would be 9% per year? Yet this is what happened in the U.S. stock market. The optimists triumphed. However,...
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