This paper examines various state-space and VAR model specifications to investigate the contributions of expected returns and expected dividend growth to movements in the price-dividend ratio. We show that both models involve serious inference problems that need to be dealt with carefully. We...

We demonstrate how it is possible to generate value for an investor with a hedge attached to the buy-and-hold strategy of a S&P 500 index fund. We study the S&P 500 index portfolio (not including dividends) and the CRSP value weighted S&P 500 index portfolio (including dividends) for...

Digital Transformation (DT) can improve the enterprise’s economic performance (EP), but there are few studies on DT and the enterprise’s performance on capital market. This paper finds that DT can reduce the enterprise’s stock price collapse risk (the “Risk”) and promote its...

This paper proposes a latent factor approach based on a state-space framework in order to identify which factor, if any, dominates price fluctuations in the Chinese stock markets. We also illustrate the connection of such stock price decomposition with several general equilibrium asset pricing...