This paper examines the profitability of a pairs trading strategy derived solely from historic price dynamics and contrarian principles. We find that the profitability of the self-financing strategy hinges on a cointegrated relationship, which Engle and Granger (1987) show also implies an...

This paper gives an overview of some issues related to market valuation, focusing on the developments on the New York equity markets. The 42.4 p.c. fall in the S&P 500 price index between 24 March 2000 - when it reached its all-time high - and 31 December 2002 is situated in a very long term...