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economics and financial markets, the effects of combining multiple news shocks on the volatility of tourism demand have not yet … GJRGARCH-FFNSs model is the best model for Malaysian tourism demand volatility forecasting accuracy. Furthermore, KLCI and Gold … asymmetry impacts on tourism demand volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013369139
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We summarize the general combination approach by Billio et al. [2010]. In the combination model the weights follow logistic auto-regressive processes, change over time and their dynamics are possible driven by the past forecasting performances of the predictive densities. For illustrative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114729
This paper aims at decomposing the forecast error variance of excess returns in five major European stock markets into the variance of news about future excess returns, dividends and real interest rates. Special emphasis is given on the issue of stationarity and structural breaks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236921
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We summarize the general combination approach by Billio et al. [2010]. In the combination model the weights follow logistic autoregressive processes, change over time and their dynamics are possible driven by the past forecasting performances of the predictive densities. For illustrative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011386476
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001781211
We combine annual stock market data for the most important equity markets of the last four centuries: the Netherlands …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457852