This paper predicts the directional changes in excess stock market return using macroeconomic variables. To minimize risks, an accurate forecasting of directional changes in excess return is required. To predict the directional changes this study first estimated the binary dependent dynamic...

The short-run market performance of the initial public offerings (IPOs) indicates that the prices are often underpriced which is widely accepted as a universal phenomenon. To find out whether the Australian IPOs are underpriced, this paper analyses the short-run market performance of 254 IPOs by...