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It is generally believed that excessive stock market volatility reflects non-mathematical market expectations that are driven by “irrational exuberance” or “animal spirits”. As shown in this paper, there is an alternative explanation. If ex-ante and ex-post expectations are calculated in...
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Statistical analysis of stock markets and foreign exchange markets has demonstrated the intermittent nature of economic … economic time series, is the key for pattern recognition and forecasting of economic cycles. Statistical analysis of stock …
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