volatility. Empirical evidence implies that a risky currency is associated with a relatively high interest rate. Taken together …, these two statements associate high-interest-rate currencies with low pricing kernel volatility. We document evidence … suggesting that the opposite is true. We approximate the volatility of the pricing kernel with the volatility of the short …

volatility. Empirical evidence indicates that a risky currency is associated with a relatively high interest rate. Taken together …, these two statements associate high-interest-rate currencies with low pricing kernel volatility. We document evidence … identification strategy revolves around using interest rate volatility differentials to make inferences about pricing kernel …

The aim of this paper is twofold: to investigate how the information content of implied volatility varies according to … moneyness and option type and to compare option-based forecasts with historical volatility. The different information content of … implied volatility is examined for the most liquid at-the-money and out-of-the-money options: put (call) options for strikes …