We examine the impact of China's 2010 margin trading and short selling pilot programme on stock returns and trading volume. The market reacts negatively to both the programme announcement and implementation, with significantly lower returns and trading volumes in the pilot stocks. The negative...

Price movements in industrial metals such as copper and aluminum predict stock returns. Increasing industrial metal prices are good news for equity markets in recessions and bad news in expansions. A one standard deviation increase in industrial metal returns predicts a price drop of one and a...

We show that the previously documented predictability of macroeconomic and technical variables for market returns is also evident in individual stock returns. Technical variables generate better predictability on firms with higher limits to arbitrage (smaller, illiquid, volatile firms), while...