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This paper analyzes stock market reactions to election polls. Stock markets anticipate the impact of events on future cash flows. Current values depend on future cash flows and risk prospects. We posit that election polls are indications of the political platforms that are expected to win...
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This paper examines the relationship between two Presidential elections and stock returns in Egypt. The available literature showed mixed results on the relationship between Presidential Elections and stock returns. The author examined daily data and used an OLS regression. Each Event Window...
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To understand the extent to which partisan majorities in Congress influence economic policy, we compare financial market responses in recent midterm elections to Presidential elections. We use prediction markets tracking election outcomes as a means of precisely timing and calibrating the...
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