-year forecast error. Our findings in the Saudi financial market reveal a tendency for overreaction to positive prior-year earnings … change (good performance) and positive prior-year forecast errors (good surprise). Conversely, there is an underreaction to … the negative prior-year earnings change (bad performance) and negative prior-year forecast error (bad surprise). Notably …

groups more than forecasts by laypeople; I observe a home bias in all subject groups, which can be mitigated by information … signals; all subject groups expect lower forecast errors for financial professionals than for laypeople, hence I also find …