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This paper reports a study on the causal dynamics between spot oil price, exchange rates, and stock prices in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, and Serbia. The results are compared with a benchmark analysis in which U.S. monthly data are used, and time periods are selected according...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011854772
Volatile and rising agricultural prices put significant strain on the global fight against poverty. An accurate reading of future food price movements can be an invaluable budgetary planning tool for various government agencies and food aid programs. Using the asset-pricing approach developed in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142959
This paper merges two branches of the literature. On one hand we study a heterogeneous agents framework to model exchange rates and stock prices. On the other hand we model the relationship between these two series through a DSGE model. Investors choose one of two rules to form their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748370
forecasting volatility model with the most appropriate error distribution. The results suggest the presence of leverage effect … forecasting model that could guarantee a sound policy decisions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489480
forecasting financial volatility. We use the auto-covariances of log increments of the multi-fractal process in order to estimate … ?scaling? approach. Our empirical estimates are used in out-of-sample forecasting of volatility for a number of important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295056
This paper describes a forecasting exercise of close-to-open returns on major global stock indices, based on price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379456
financial information leads to a significant improvement in forecasting business cycle developments in four economic areas, at … can anticipate aggregate fluctuations from those that do not help to this aim. Beyond the purely forecasting application …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121824
This paper describes a forecasting exercise of close-to-open returns on major global stock indices, based on price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153998
financial information leads to a significant improvement in forecasting business cycle developments in four economic areas, at … can anticipate aggregate fluctuations from those that do not help to this aim. Beyond the purely forecasting application … forecasting ; granular shock ; international linkages …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009354657
This paper examines short-run and long-run dynamic relationships between selected macroeconomic variables and stock prices in the Korea Stock Exchange. The data is restricted to the period for which monthly data are available from January 1986 to October 2016 (370 observations) retrieved from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911147