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Economic theory suggests that the magnitude and direction of a company's currency risk exposure depends crucially on its fundamental involvement in international trade. For U.S. industries, we find that the stock performance of import-oriented companies moves positively with the performance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128392
Asset pricing tests often replace ex ante return expectation with ex post realization. The large deviation between the two drastically weakens the power of these tests. This paper proposes to use analysts consensus price target for a stock as the market expectation of the stock's future price to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012916537
This paper examines the capability of firm fundamentals in explaining the cross-sectional variation of credit default swap (CDS) spreads. The paper constructs a fundamental-based CDS valuation by combining the Merton distance-to-default measure with a long list of firm fundamental...
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We examine both theoretically and empirically whether increased trading activity in index futures and exchange traded funds (ETFs) is associated with higher equity return correlations. Our model predicts that demand shocks to ETFs and futures lead to stronger price comovement for index stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004525
We introduce a new class of flexible and tractable matrix affine jump-diffusions (AJD) to model multivariate sources of financial risk. We first provide a complete transform analysis of this model class, which opens a range of new potential applications to, e.g., multivariate option pricing with...
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