The paper argues that bond investors (and, implicitly large creditors in general), may not necessarily demonstrate the “Investors' Smartness” that some previous studies attributed to large institutional holders, when it comes to pricing-in for economic shocks likely to occur in future. This...

Presentation to the Singapore Shipping Association and at Nanyang Technological University. Basics of financial statements, what is valuation, valuation ratios, cash flow, asset-based, other issues and metrics

We examine institutional trading surrounding corporate news by combining a comprehensive database of newswire releases on U.S. firms with a high-frequency database of institutional trades. To identify the ability of institutions to predict or quickly interpret news, we form “news clusters”...

Do firms conducting reverse splits underperform or overperform in the long run? To resolve this question we investigate the long-term returns following more than 5,000 reverse splits conducted in 24 developed equity markets between the years 1990 and 2016. Using the calendar-time portfolio...

Increasing globalization has meant the internet becoming ever more part of the routine of people around the world. With the evolution of the internet, social networks have emerged in order to facilitate communication between people, communities and even between corporations. Social networks...

Using a comprehensive database of corporate news, we find that bond funds trade against the direction of news sentiment. The trading against news phenomenon is concentrated in funds selling on positive news and in the post-financial crisis period when dealer liquidity provision is constrained....

In this study, we examine the effect of social capital on stock price crash risk. We find that firms headquartered in U.S. counties with higher levels of social capital exhibit lower levels of future stock price crash risk. This finding is incremental to the effect of local religiosity. We also...

We estimate a dynamic asset pricing model characterized by heterogeneous boundedly rational agents. The fundamental value of the risky asset is publicly available to all agents, but they have different beliefs about the persistence of deviations of stock prices from the fundamental benchmark. An...

We develop a discrete-time affine stochastic volatility model with time-varying conditional skewness (SVS). Importantly, we disentangle the dynamics of conditional volatility and conditional skewness in a coherent way. Our approach allows current asset returns to be asymmetric conditional on...

This paper provides an analysis of the link between the oil market and the U.S. stock market returns at the aggregate as well as industry levels. We empirically model oil price changes as driven by speculative demand shocks along with consumption demand and supply shocks in the oil market. We...