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This paper investigates the impact of macroeconomic news on the dynamics of interest rates and stock returns during "low" and "high" volatility periods. These periods are determined by estimating asset dynamics using a SWARCH process. Our results suggest that securities volatility is higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108222
It is widely agreed that the Nasdaq during the dot-com era 20 years ago was a full-fledged stock market bubble. Recently, the US stock market according to many metrics has become significantly more speculative and overvalued than it was at the dot-com peak 20 years ago. In both instances, a very...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496514
This paper estimates standard and extended Taylor rules for core countries in the euro area, namely France, Germany and Italy, as well as for the ECB. Forward, backward and forecast-based rules are estimated for a variety of samples since the late 1970s. We are particularly interested in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295649
In this paper we set up a New-Keynesian model that features an interbank market. The introduction of an interbank market is important to analyze liquidity problems among heterogenous agents within the financial sector. First, because this allows for a situation where increased liquidity supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009380435
The purpose of the present paper is to provide a simple model which explains how households (or non-experts) form their inflation forecasts. The paper contributes to the existing literature and the understanding of how inflation expectations are formed in two ways. Firstly, we present an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011471487
Market efficiency hypothesis suggests a zero level for the intraday interest rate. However, a liquidity crisis introduces frictions related to news, which can cause an upward jump of the intraday rate. This paper documents that these dynamics can be partially predicted during turbulent times. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119944
In this paper we set up a New-Keynesian model that features an interbank market. The introduction of an interbank market is important to analyze liquidity problems among heterogenous agents within the financial sector. First, because this allows for a situation where increased liquidity supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121427
In this paper we set up a New-Keynesian model with a heterogenous banking sector to analyze liquidity problems on the interbank market. The presence of an interbank market is essential to consider a situation where an increased liquidity supply by the central bank is only partially passed on to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012988760
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991350
Purpose: There is an undeveloped market for the broader distribution of future capital acquisition and income in which the price (cost) paid for acquisition of securities to realize future capital income plays a crucial role. Our objective in this paper is to propose a new loan which facilitates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046616