Showing 1 - 10 of 9,146
This paper offers an improvement to the trade-to-trade model for event studies. While the trade-to-trade model of Maynes and Rumsey (1993) addresses the problem of thin trading by eliminating periods in which no trading is recorded, the proposed improvement addresses the influence of zero-value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138994
ratio in stock markets is so low that overfitting is inevitable. Simulation offers a means of assessing and compensating for … the dangers. It is not obvious at first how simulation can be helpful for backtesting and predicting markets but we show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055397
A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324850
A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327543
We revisit the apparent historical success of technical trading rules on daily prices of the DJIA index from 1897 to 2011, and use the False Discovery Rate as a new approach to data snooping. The advantage of the FDR over existing methods is that it selects more outperforming rules which allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961414
In this paper, we provide evidence on two alternative mechanisms of interaction between returns and volatilities: the leverage effect and the volatility feedback effect. We stress the importance of distinguishing between realized volatility and implied volatility, and find that implied...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128856
We provide an entropy approach for measuring asymmetric comovement between the return on a single asset and the market return. This approach yields a model-free test for stock return asymmetry, generalizing the correlation-based test proposed by Hong, Tu, and Zhou (2007). Based on this test, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856552
We use the expected lifetime range (ELR) ratio based on the extreme values of asset prices to detect the presence of mean reversion in stock returns. We find that the actual cross-sectional average of the ELR ratio is significantly less than its bootstrap means, thereby indicating a considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905649
our testing procedure, that can account for estimation error in the asymptotic variance of the test statistic, provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098913
Estimation using simulation techniques may be very time consuming. Specification tests for structuralstability often …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339446