Countries have historically welcomed foreign capital and have implemented policies to facilitate and encourage its inflow. However, the recent surge of FDI from economies characterised by large state interventionism has raised concerns for national security and economic stability, leading to...

In this paper, the authors apply a continuous time stochastic process model developed by Shiryaev and Zhutlukhin for optimal stopping of random price processes that appear to be bubbles. By a bubble we mean the rising price is largely based on the expectation of higher and higher future prices....

We use a series of different approaches to extract information about crash risk from option prices for the Euro-Dollar exchange rate, with each step sharpening the focus on extracting more specific measures of crash risk around dates of ECB measures of Unconventional Monetary Policy. Several...

During the recent sovereign debt crisis, the European Banking Authority conducted two stress tests on European banks in order to gauge their capital needs, core Tier-1 ratios and ratios of resilience to adverse shocks. We assess the informational content of the disclosure of the stress test...

We explore how the US presidential effect in stock prices is connected to the US presidential effect in foreign exchange returns to the US dollar. Our results show that the existence of a presidential effect in stock returns depends on how a firm's stock returns are associated with changes in...

This study presents evidence that much of the trading on macro-economic news occurs prior to the scheduled news announcement times. Examining the trading patterns ahead of the ISM Manufacturing Index and Construction Spending announcement, we find that the trading on the not-yet-publicly...

This paper investigates the relationship of asset price determination via Google data and trading volume. We use weekly data from 2004 to 2010 for 30 international banks. Our study is the first which differentiate between Google's search volume and Google's search clicks. We find that asset...

This paper focuses on the effects of political uncertainty and the political process on implied stock market volatility during U.S. presidential election cycles. Using monthly Iowa Electronic Markets data over five elections, we document that stock market uncertainty, as measured by the VIX...

How did expectations of the outcome of the United Kingdom's (UK) referendum on European Union (EU) membership in 2016 affect prices in financial markets? We study this using high frequency data from betting and financial markets. We find that a one percentage point increase in the probability of...

Stock prices and workplace mobility trace out striking clockwise paths in daily data from mid-February to late May 2020. Global stock prices fell 30 percent from 17 February to 12 March, before mobility declined. Over the next 11 days, stocks fell another 10 percentage points as mobility dropped...