We provide empirical evidence of the causal effects of changes in financial intermediaries' net worth on the aggregate economy. Our strategy identifies financial shocks as high-frequency changes in the market value of intermediaries' net worth in a narrow window around their earnings...

Governance of market intermediaries is an integral component of efficient equity markets especially in emerging economies. In this study, we investigate two main research questions using a unique individual trade level data from the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE): Do brokers conduct manipulative...

Because uncertainty is high in bad times, investors find it harder to assess firm prospects and, hence, should value analyst output more. However, higher uncertainty makes analysts' tasks harder so it is unclear if analyst output is more valuable in bad times. We find that, in bad times, analyst...

Hou and Moskowitz (2005) use the stock price delay in reflecting market-wide information to measure market frictions each individual firm faces. In this study, to better understand how the price formation process is affected by the business cycle, we examine the relation between changes in the...

I develop a macroeconomic model of information production in financial markets during asset price booms and busts. Agents acquire information to decide which firms to fund. In the aggregate, more precise information leads to less capital misallocation. The source of booms and busts determines...

We provide a production-based asset pricing model with dispersed information and small deviations from full rational expectations. In the model, aggregate output and equity prices depend on the higher-order beliefs about aggregate demand and individual stochastic discount factors. We prove that...

We find that procyclical stocks, whose returns comove with business cycles, earn higher average returns than countercyclical stocks. We use almost a three-quarter century of real GDP growth expectations from economists' surveys to determine forecasted economic states. This approach largely...