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forecasting financial volatility. We use the auto-covariances of log increments of the multi-fractal process in order to estimate … ?scaling? approach. Our empirical estimates are used in out-of-sample forecasting of volatility for a number of important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295056
Bayesian forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of … leads to gains in forecasting accuracy for some time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295106
forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of volatility … leads to gains in forecasting accuracy for some time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295151
It has become popular recently to apply the multifractal formalism of statistical physics (scaling analysis of structure functions and f(a) singularity spectrum analysis) to financial data. The outcome of such studies is a nonlinear shape of the structure function and a nontrivial behavior of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295150
-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265243
that estimated parameters can be used for forecasting the evolution of the turbulent flow. We compare forecasting results … by estimating the intermittency parameter and forecasting of volatility for a sample of financial data from stock and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286258
-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models … models. -- Multiplicative volatility models ; long memory ; Student-t innovations ; international volatility forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864486
for realized volatility (RV). We estimate the RV-MSM model via Generalized Method of Moments and perform forecasting by … memory ; international volatility forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009314521
that estimated parameters can be used for forecasting the evolution of the turbulent flow. We compare forecasting results … by estimating the intermittency parameter and forecasting of volatility for a sample of financial data from stock and … foreign exchange markets. -- Random Lognormal cascades ; GMM estimation ; best linear forecasting ; volatility of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009389845
The predictive ability of the dividend-price ratio for future stock returns does not necessarily imply that dividend-price ratios predict future stock prices. Stock returns consist of both a capital gain and a dividend yield component, and we show that predictability of stock returns by lagged...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131071