On January 29th, 1997, an historical date for the U.S. Treasury, the first inflation-indexed Treasury notes, for a nominal value of 7 billion of dollars, have been auctioned. These securities are also called Tips (Treasury inflation-protected securities). Subsequently, the Chicago Board of Trade...

The article presents a Bayesian nonparametric approach to model the Pricing Kernel (PK), defined as the present value of the ratio between the risk neutral density, q, and a modified physical density, p*. The risk neutral density is estimated from option data and the modified physical density is...

Market efficiency and the pricing kernel are closely related. A non-monotonic decreasing pricing kernel implies the existence of a trading strategy in contingent claims that stochastically dominates a direct investment in the market. Moreover, a market is assumed to be efficient only if no...