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We consider the problem of ex-ante forecasting conditional correlation patterns using ultra high frequency data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296287
characteristics work better than fewer with respect to forecasting cross-sectional stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852228
-series dynamics specification per each name with a cross-sectional forecasting relation at each date. The paper develops a conditional … greatly enhances the out-of-sample forecasting performance against standard benchmarks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403955
Purpose: This paper examines the associative and causal relationship between changes in the implied volatility index (VIX) and stock market returns, with data from 15 countries representing both developed and emerging economies.1 We also examine the dynamic variation, if any in the nature of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012219567
Recent literature show that leverage has a negative effect on stock returns, which is contradicting with influential finance theories and models. Based on the time-period 1966-2015, the five-factor model and an international dataset, this thesis sets the focus on the question what kind of effect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925627
Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing.I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially for risk premia measurement. All models take the same set...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236793
We present a statistic to generally represent extremes in the distribution of temperature anomalies and demonstrate its consequences on financial markets. The diverse shocks that our measure portrays are established to be primary drivers of electricity consumption and the weather futures market....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306959
We extract contextualized representations of news text to predict returns using the state-of-the-art large language models in natural language processing. Unlike the traditional bag-of-words approach, the contextualized representation captures both the syntax and semantics of text, thus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351081
We establish the financial materiality of temperature variability by demonstrating its impact on US firms and investors. A long-short strategy that sorts firms based on exposure earns a market-adjusted alpha of 39 basis points per month. This variability metric is related to aggregate decreases...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015098575
We demonstrate that a stochastic model consistent with the scaling properties of financial assets is able to replicate the empirical statistical properties of the S&P 500 high frequency data within a window of three hours in each trading day. This result extends previous findings obtained for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091646